RULE TRAP100 / 100POLYMARKET · RESOLUTION RISK
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
View on PolymarketSRCPolymarketVOL$61.8MDEADLINE20 Jul 2026
Evidence board · resolution risk map
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Resolution risk
100/100
⛔ RULE TRAP
Drives the whole board — every line below feeds this number.
01 · Headline
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
The simple question a trader reads first — before the rules are unpacked.
02 · Rules require
Resolution hinges on a specific named source confirming the outcome.
Resolution hinges on a specific named source confirming the outcome. Rules cite: "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World C…"
03 · Official source
One named source.
Resolution hinges on a named source confirming the outcome — silence or ambiguity from that channel resolves NO regardless of the underlying event. Rules cite: "This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World C…"
+25 / +10
04 · Deadline
20 Jul 2026 · 00:00 UTC
No unusually tight or ambiguous deadline dependency detected; the source channel is the dominant risk.
05 · News evidence
Coverage check unavailable.
Depth-layer news enrichment is off or returned no relevant sources. Use the rules and source nodes for the resolution-side check.
Core insight
◆ The gap
The underlying event can occur and this market can still resolve NO if the named source…
The underlying event can occur and this market can still resolve NO if the named source doesn't confirm it in the required form. Rules cite: "title omits "according to" but rules require it"
06 · Precedent
Dispute / settlement history.
Markets bound to a single source are commonly disputed when that source is silent or ambiguous.